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Re: wilma update


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Posted by tleemay on October 20, 2005 at 11:53:19:

In Reply to: wilma update posted by k on October 19, 2005 at 17:35:59:

From Hugh Huntzinger on the SCUBA SE list;

I've been watching NHC.NOAA.GOV, and this morning's report showed that Wilma had taken a larger 'hook to the west' prior to its anticipated swing towards Florida. As a result, it looks like Cozumel's going to get hit within the next 12-24 hours.

As per report #21, the current best estimate for location between now and 7AM Friday is:

20.3N 86.9W 41 X X X 41
(translation: 41% of passing within 65nmiles of 20.3 N - 86.9 W)

Cozumel airport is listed...
MMCZ 205N 869W 38 X X X 38 (38% chance of being within 65nm within next
~24 hrs).

Together, the two would appear to suggest that the center of Wilma will pass just south of Coz (it was "just north" in Report #20 from 4AM this morning) - - in any event, she's currently expected to strengthen, and looks like has a "50/50" chance of being a CAT 5 by the time that she gets to Coz.

-----------------

I hope that Chuck and my other friends that live on the island
get through this as well as their last one in Sept.



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