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08/21/94 good stuff, patterns and models, but where to put FOCUS ON THE SOCIETY behaviors, beliefs-life, growth..self, institutions- tech, family, education, rel, cities, society space Cities in the future. Models Consider the model of human society as an organism. It takes in resources, distributes them, converts them, uses them and then removes their waste products. This is a very useful description of the stratified society. As such, each class and caste serves a specialized function like an organ. Consider it from the point of view of the parts. It is like the old joke about the organs of the body arguing about which has the most important function and should therefore run the body. A farmer says let them eat dirt. I am the only source of the basis of life - food. The craftsman says "you can only have your homes, tools, products and businesses if I create them". The scribe, teacher and priest say "try to exist, grow, organize or raise your children without my help". The economic and military ruling class simply say that they must ultimately provide the critical executive guidance to the society and anyway they have the power to make things as they desire or believe. The nature of this problem was examined long ago. Plato described Utopia as having farmers, warriors and priests-kings, to fulfill all of the necessary functions of the society. There are older descriptions of the functional parts of the society such as in the bible. In the tribal society, the differentiation of occupations was relatively much less, but did exist, though it was based differently than in the stratified (multi-tribal) society. Humans have gotten where we are by cooperation, though you might not think it possible, judging from observation. How about a little expansion of the views of the related economic and ruling class. In either case, the rule is by power or by agreement. In a mechanistic view, this evokes no value judgement. It is not right or wrong, it is survival. Many brilliant writers and ideologists have provided us with discussions of the potentials of leadership of the society by different groups. There are two points of view that the ruling class can take, that are not mutually exclusive. One relates to actions that serve as leadership for the society and the other relates to the exploitation of the rest of he society for their exclusive benefit. They can view themselves as the leaders of their people or as the owners and masters of them. To a member of a tribal society, those of a civil society are subjugated, controlled and domesticated. To a member of the civil society, a tribal individual is narrow, unadaptive and lacking in discipline. The issue really comes down to the beliefs of the society. Is the city and society a cooperative venture for mutual benefit or is it an arena for provincialism. A modern society requires a great amount of cooperation and organization. If the balance between social interest and self interest becomes to much towards the individual, the society fragments and fails as a community. Each group considers itself separate and all other groups are different and to be exploited. It would be expected that in the next ecology, genetics and beliefs would be such as to make the society much like a community. The overall attitude would be cooperative, because you would be more interested in another persons potentials rather than competing with them. #####If the environment is nasty, it forces excessive competition and no one is happy, but the privileged classes. ##### Families, communities and tribes are natural sizes and types of human social groups. Cities will be one of the most important forms in the future. In any case, the nature of the physical social space will greatly depend on the forms of transport and communication available. The more efficient the transportation technology, then the larger the physical space of the social groupings can be. The ultimate form of the idea is the case where cheap instantaneous transportation could be accomplished and then there would be no coherent physical structure to the social group. More likely, transportation efficiency is going to grow, but have limitations qualitatively similar to present systems. Faster cars could be built, but the drivers are near their limit. The next question about transport technology could be about resources, but that does not apply to social forms. In any time frame of nature, it can be seen that the idea of nations will develop into a world political body. the timing and nature of this will depend on many things, including communication and transportation technology. With present habits and technology this is already rapidly happening. National boundaries are usually based on geographical or ethnic divisions. The United States is a political entity that is a nation with local political divisions. This is very possibly how the world will look. Consider the interaction of two groups of people. A group that lives in a forest and a group that logs the forest. It is clear that the one group is removing the niche of the other. In North America it was done to some Indian tribes by removing the buffalo that they were dependent on. Much the same thing is done in more subtle ways and forms presently, as different groups interact and compete in our present society. Competition is one thing, removal of an ecology is another. Another case is the farmer. There is no niche for the peasant farmer. That role has been replaced by the technician farmer and the mortgage holder. The rise of ownership has removed the space of the itinerant farmer and herder. This may be considered cultural competition or thievery, but it shows a common result of technological development and social competition. That is an extreme case of what the competition can cause. There is less extreme, but much more common and constant competition within the species. When talking about aggression, one must differentiate between displays and physical attacks. Is the aggression to gain advantage or for extermination? In any specie, the main use of energy must be for reproduction. If too much energy is devoted to competition within the specie, it is wasted energy and the specie can be replaced in its niche by a specie that uses the available resources more efficiently. In nature, most species use displays instead of more serious real aggression, so as to not waste too much energy on competition. Display strategies save energy that can be used for reproduction. and cut down on much of the stress the specie has to deal with. This would apply to sub-species as well. The society must allow competition for the health and development of the society, but try to keep it in a form that is not too lethal or that produces too much constant stress for the society. As it is presently, though it is more subtle, the level and result of competition within our civil society can be similar to the removal of the forest of a forest tribe. It seems to be getting worse, as might be expected with a rise in population without other adequate adjustments. ***** 9 As we live in situations of higher population density, education about sanitation habits and techniques become more important. Conceivably, many social situations may have to be modified to reduce the spread of nuisance or critical diseases. The institution that is presently called school, might have to change to reduce some contacts. To a certain extent a school is like a community, but it is not closed, so diseases that come from outside the school are then spread through that "community". ******** 9 Intelligence includes the ability to learn well and quickly. it is easier to teach an intelligent person. In our technically and socially complex world, a child's education must be very extensive and complete. One of the greatest values of intelligence in evolution, will be simplification of the education process. This would be especially noticeable if we ever again enter a niche that demands a high birth rate. Winning can be for the sake of winning or for what is to be won. Sometimes, therefore, losing can be a way to win. Winning for the sake of winning is a self perpetuating habit, common to various value systems. Priorities must be remembered. 9## Humans are very responsive to ceremony. Our development is long and complex. Rites of passage, ceremonies of development and maturity, are important to the organization of the society and to the way the individual matures. We are developing a promiscuous ecology. Humans widely consider "easy living" to be a desirable goal. We are also stimulus and response systems. Humans respond to their environment. For a human to fully develop, it takes a lot of stimulus or education, as we call it. Humans rise to challenge. What challenges will humans find to raise themselves? What stimulus, education or challenge will develop and release individual human potential and maturity? One possibility is concious internal reconciliation of the conflicts of a hybrid psychology. 9## Human psychology operates in strange and mysterious ways. One point of it that seems reasonable is role models. Children and adults both will imitate an individual that they respect. This is something that is going to be impacted by media. In a smaller world, human idols were parents or relatives. Media presents superstars and larger than life archetypes. That is mostly a quantitative change, but the portrayal of family forms, among other things, is going to be significant. Back to psychology, people often imagine themselves as their role model. Interesting and hopefully quite healthy, but the reason this is mentioned is to illustrate something about our social form. Society, as well as individuals, models itself after media. R and K Strategies In terms of ecology, r and k refer to contrasts in the strategies of organisms that thrive in undisturbed, stable ecologies, verses organisms that thrive in relatively unstable, changing environments. Well, humans thrive in both. That calls for a description of more consequences. We are products of a very chaotic history. In history, many cultures failed due to excess conservatism in the face of dramatic changes. In a space of a few years, a stable culture could be transformed by war, disease or drought. Before the time of the big game hunters, the pace of change would have been set by climatic changes. For millions of years before the recent changes, human ecology and habit changed extremely slowly. It takes different strategies to adapt to the stable or unstable situation. In a relatively short time, humans are going to be one population with a relatively stable size and stable resource utilization. This is a situation that is and will be reached by any population that is able to widely communicate. This is true for both natural and artificial habitats as a product of their external isolation and internal communication. When a population has resources, room to grow and a growing size, it is in an unstable ecology. In general, we have well developed methods for living in chaotic situations and natural selection picks up the loose ends, but stability will present new problems. Stability refers to a time frame, resources and resource utilization by a society. To survive, humans must develop many new ideas to stabilize resource production and population number. It is possible that civilization may go through cycles of growth and collapse, but it seems likely that the attendant environmental damage and resource depletion would make it harder to regrow after each collapse. It will be necessary to utilize social forms that can last a long time. This discussion is largely redundant, but it is a basic factor when constructing an ecological analysis. Space.. In The Future Of Humans We may find a need for space exploration for reasons that we would not usually expect. We may need it most for the frontier that it offers. Many people are not going to desire a stable ecology. The nature of the people that have expanded in the cities and created technology are products of a dynamic and expanding society. Only by expansion into space can we continue to provide an environment that is suitable to modern, dynamic humans. It might be better or necessary for there to be an evolutionary adjustment period while humans adapt to technology, before they adapt to living in space. If we are not forced to adapt to a semi-stable ecology, before progressing into the potentially huge niche offered by space, we may develop habits that could be uncomfortably or even lethally dynamic. It is another balance that will have to be struck. There are many possible points of view and gravity does rule development, but it could easily be argued that living in artificial habitats is as natural as living on the natural habitat of a planet. Those habitats might even be underground. It may be analogous to the community isolation of religious groups and so critical to survival, but underground living would never lead to the population isolation that living in space could. It is worth considering, as a model, the genetic and social consequences of cheap spaceflight in the next 50 years verses the consequences if it developed in perhaps 2000 years. One situation would continue the utilization of the traits we have used until recently. If we stay as a population on this planet for 2000 years, we would be much more adapted to a stable ecology. The different situations would result in great differences in human nature. Another point of note about living in space is quite well worth considering. Two key points in this analysis relate to the effect of human development in small isolated tribes and then the common intermingling of these tribes. Unless some easy method to move between two points, faster than light, can be found, populations outside solar systems will be relatively isolated. In any case it is unlikely that space flight is going to be a solution to the population or social problems of the human system on the earth. The earth is a system reaching or past a carrying capacity. SOCIETY - NICHE CONSIDERATIONS Inheritence is a social law about a multi-generation effect. Deference can be a form of respect based on ancestry. Many times, humans have inhabited niches with a predictable, constant mortality level. Seafarers are good examples. Any group or tribe that subsists by fishing or navigating the oceans, such as the Portugese, had to absorb a certain mortality rate. They must adapt to this biologically and by beliefs. In ways, this type of occupational niche with a predictable mortality rate may seem odd to many "modern" people. Still, it has always been that way for childbirth. A tribe may exist in a niche where only 30 percent of the population ever reproduces. All the rest pay the price of the continued existance of the society and their genes...... This is the way frontiers are pushed back. Changes In Beliefs Observation shows the significance of ideologies and beliefs. This is the main area that humans must start to resolve very soon. The change of humans developing beliefs, values and habits appropriate to a non-militarist social structure is very basic because it will completely change much of the basis of the social system, not just add or modify. It is the change that people are intuitively tuned into, because it reflects the desire to live in a social world like it was in the time of the tribes. We can live in a peaceful, comfortable world with the best features of family and community. The antithesis of the military society is democracy. The only way to survive is to learn and think, rather than to react. There are other vital lessons and beliefs that are going to have to become common if humans are to grow and survive. None are as basic as the first change mentioned, but they are essential none the less. One attitude that humans must learn and developed is a global perspective of society and the environment. The world has become smaller due to technology. What happens on the other side of the world or the plains of Russia, can effect you. To survive, we must take a long term perspective of preserving the earth to live on. ######## Power is the ability to control the will and actions of others. Power tends to corrupt people and offers the potential for great harm to the society. We must avoid allowing too much power to exist, unless some emergency occurs or some goal is chosen by the society, that requires the focused energy of the society. The society must insure that power brings benefit to the society. ######### ####### It is interesting to think of some comparisons, perhaps between conditions for an individual in the present technological civil society and a king in days of yore. As far as material comforts go, we do pretty good. Hot showers have got to be one of the greatest creations of any age. What Soloman would have given for a refrigerator - perhaps some word of wisdom. Our teeth do not rot out, we smell pretty good, we do not go hungry and there are pretty girls everywhere. xxxxxxxx We will require political forms that will serve locally, regionally and globally. Advanced forms of constitutional law will be developed. Constitutional law is redundant. Present institutions, including education, technology, politics, economics and moralities will be grow and develop new tools. A useful science of economics would be quite helpful as would a more developed knowledge of psychology and sociology. Since our present choices will form the future, what kind of futures do we desire presently and how can they be achieved? A good starting point might be the preamble to the American Constitution. We the people, of the United States of America, in order produce a more perfect union Examination of the views of Plato, Rousseau, give us other suggestions. In comparison to the republic described by Plato, with its priest kings, warriors and agricultural class, we seem to be developing a world of technicians. People have diverse talents that may differ greatly from those of their parents. Instead of just following the occupation of the parents, the individual must find their technical strength and develop it. Farmers, warriors, priests and economic leaders are technicians. The individual must bring what inspiration they have, to their chosen occupation. It seems that the only practical way to prevent war is deterrence. Even becoming one tribe wmay not accomplish that. Depending on "better human nature" is a dangerous route. I will entertain other suggestions, but that statement seems nearly inescapable. Other possibilities could exist though, such as the society having no exploitable wealth.. It is considered that the genetic component of deterrence is already common in occidentals. Most can fight back, but this primarily refers to a response to violence, usually from outside of the society. How does this apply to the predator that we call a criminal. How can we respond to criminal violence and even more importantly how can we deal with non-violent criminal (predatory) action such as fraud. Education will help prevention, but techniques will have to be developed. The only thing that prevents aggression is resistance. Appeasement always fails in the end, when choice is up to the aggressor.Back